Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 0.177969 0.209996 0.245813 0.288797 0.338937 0.395536 0.464236
2025-08-31 0.125722 0.165493 0.214730 0.279991 0.364042 0.468464 0.607852
2025-09-07 0.100786 0.143918 0.201486 0.283580 0.397237 0.548591 0.764941
2025-09-14 0.083274 0.127227 0.189659 0.284211 0.423093 0.618786 0.914461
2025-09-21 0.069226 0.112258 0.176816 0.279874 0.439246 0.675070 1.048836
2025-09-28 0.059089 0.101110 0.167329 0.278145 0.457567 0.734849 1.193327
2025-10-05 0.054152 0.097237 0.168183 0.292005 0.500825 0.836176 1.411755
2025-10-12 0.050751 0.095269 0.171598 0.310048 0.552393 0.955432 1.671025
2025-10-19 0.046301 0.090692 0.169799 0.318651 0.588577 1.052587 1.903210
2025-10-26 0.041297 0.084287 0.163801 0.318797 0.609550 1.125427 2.100424
2025-11-02 0.035773 0.076019 0.153223 0.308994 0.610999 1.163555 2.239190
2025-11-09 0.030494 0.067417 0.140818 0.293982 0.600615 1.178603 2.336383
2025-11-16 0.027371 0.063019 0.136517 0.295238 0.623539 1.261357 2.576507
2025-11-23 0.023645 0.056757 0.127632 0.286155 0.625147 1.304287 2.746382
2025-11-30 0.021528 0.053716 0.125037 0.289812 0.653133 1.401836 3.034983
2025-12-07 0.019445 0.050393 0.121325 0.290456 0.674652 1.488314 3.309947
2025-12-14 0.017277 0.046489 0.115721 0.286027 0.684398 1.551041 3.541411
2025-12-21 0.015554 0.043396 0.111541 0.284261 0.699779 1.627198 3.809559
2025-12-28 0.014936 0.043058 0.113917 0.298413 0.753575 1.793065 4.292866
2026-01-04 0.014569 0.043332 0.117834 0.316836 0.819633 1.993101 4.873560
2026-01-11 0.013731 0.042165 0.117922 0.325620 0.863276 2.146060 5.360995
2026-01-18 0.012578 0.039904 0.114831 0.325769 0.885419 2.250790 5.745363
2026-01-25 0.011131 0.036526 0.108252 0.315759 0.880408 2.289833 5.975568